메뉴 건너뛰기

이너포스

공지사항

    • 글자 크기

PVO: This Year's Federal Budget Looks Like An Election Turning Point

ToshaWhitlow5046192025.03.26 15:42조회 수 2댓글 0

The mood within the government on the day of Tuesday's Budget was considerably brighter than it's been in recent months. No doubt buoyed by the tightening polls and the slight improvement to the PM's personal ratings over recent weeks.

Ministers were out drinking on Monday night at traditional watering holes like the bar attached to the Realm Hotel near Parliament House. Not drowning their sorrows but rather enjoying the changing political climate ahead of the election.

To be sure, it is the Opposition Leader Peter Dutton who is now somewhat under the pump. Expectations had risen unrealistically high in recent months, with many who should know better starting to predict that a change of government might be in the offing after just one term in power.

Were that to happen, it would be the first time a one term government failed to secure re-election since 1931. It is not entirely off the cards, of course, and anything can happen once the campaign starts. But a Coalition victory seems highly unlikely.

The bookies have shortened Labor's odds, now ahead of the Opposition after being neck and neck on Monday. That's a simple case of money flooding Labor's way after its odds blew out to $2.50 according to at least one betting site.

Crazy odds for a one term incumbent in what is essentially a two horse race.

The simple fact is Dutton has exceeded expectations as Opposition Leader, almost irrespective of how the Coalition performs at the election. While this Budget might help Labor preserve a seats lead in the parliament after the next election, it's unlikely to help save the Labor majority.

This government's best case scenario at the next election is to win without a majority. Reduced to a minority government dependent on at least the Greens for survival, perhaps requiring the support of other crossbenchers too.





Budget 2025 will most likely come to be seen as the turning point if Labor does go on to win the election. Pictured: Prime Minister Anthony Albanese congratulates Treasurer Jim Chalmers on Tuesday night after handing down their fourth Budget






The standard practice is for PMs to get out of the way on budget night and give their Treasurer (pictured kissing wife Laura on Budget night) the limelight, uninterrupted












Few predicted that sort of disastrous outcome when Albo won in 2022 and Dutton was elected Liberal leader. He was seen as too toxic to win seats in Victoria and unlikely to retain the lion's share of LNP seats held in Queensland, despite hailing from up north.

So much has changed since then, even if the expected result is slowly drifting Labor's way the closer we get to the campaign. It was always going to be thus.

Budget 2025 will most likely come to be seen as the turning point if Labor does go on to win the election. At the very least you can see Treasurer Jim Chalmers pushing that narrative after the campaign is over, perhaps as a precursor to a tilt at the leadership if Albo remains a drag on his party after polling day.

We know Albo isn't the best of campaigners. His most successful week of campaigning at the 2022 election was the week he was in lockdown at home with Covid. His senior shadow ministers took up the cudgels of the campaign and it was Labor's best week.

I don't anticipate Albo getting Covid again during this year's election campaign.

The PM even made an appearance in the Budget lock up yesterday, which prime ministers rarely do. He clearly doesn't want Chalmers to get all the credit if Labor secures a second term in power.

Which is also why Albo was also doing media interviews on the day of the Budget, also unusual. Again the standard practice is for PMs to get out of the way and give their Treasurer the limelight, uninterrupted.

But Albo just couldn't help himself.




The mood within the government on the day of yesterday's Budget was considerably brighter than it's been in recent months




Read More

Laura Chalmers learns her lesson after last year's HUGE fashion blunder


With the 2025 Budget having almost entirely been fed to the media ahead of the lock up, beyond the surprise attached to the minor income tax cuts, money set aside for the campaign is the only piece of intrigue left hidden within the Budget papers.

My tip is more tax cuts to be announced by Labor, in a bid to outflank Dutton.

The more interesting speech to be delivered this sitting week, probably the last time parliament convenes before the election gets called, is what Dutton has left to say in his budget reply on Thursday night.

His office has already indicated that there will be a 'big ticket' item he'll announce, but what do they even mean by that?

It isn't likely to be a call for spending restraint, surely, given that doing so would neatly enhance a scare campaign about 'Dutton led cuts' the government is already working on.

I don't see Dutton as the sort of politician who thinks announcing some sort of summit if he becomes PM is a big deal worth flagging either. However much a bipartisan commitment to tax and deneme bonusu veren siteler federation reform summits after the election is out of the way would be step one on Australia's road to fiscal recovery.

The Coalition has already said that it will pursue a domestic nuclear energy strategy if elected, which is surely big ticket enough.

So what is Dutton planning to surprise us with on Thursday evening?




The simple fact is Peter Dutton has exceeded expectations as Opposition Leader, almost irrespective of how the Coalition performs at the election



Peter Dutton
  • 0
  • 0
    • 글자 크기
ToshaWhitlow504619 (비회원)

댓글 달기 WYSIWYG 사용

댓글 쓰기 권한이 없습니다.
정렬

검색

번호 제목 글쓴이 날짜 조회 수
25676 Good Trusted Lottery Dealer 255536649594759 NoreenSchafer03447 2025.03.29 1
25675 Best Trusted Lotto Dealer Guidance 85746826746766 LesNugan2033612037890 2025.03.29 1
25674 Trusted Safe Online Slot Option 8359442271129492426666512541 LizaEady174732637 2025.03.29 1
25673 Lottery Today 328536547534628 AZRCandice6293103 2025.03.29 1
25672 Best Trusted Lotto Dealer Tips 81915247749871 Hannelore66I9076 2025.03.29 1
25671 12 Stats About Choose A Franchise To Make You Look Smart Around The Water Cooler PattiWillhite69 2025.03.29 0
25670 The Leaked Secret To Site Discovered KerryVonwiller2689 2025.03.29 0
25669 Fantastic Online Slot Gambling Site 9356735495651333994197553623 Raymundo4530505 2025.03.29 1
25668 Learn Online Slots Casino 6184213922396195737115362283 FilomenaPhilip309718 2025.03.29 1
25667 Секреты Бонусов Онлайн-казино Cryptoboss Casino, Которые Вы Должны Использовать CaraAbernathy5348923 2025.03.29 2
25666 Приложение Веб-казино {Казино Онлайн Стейк} На Андроид: Удобство Игры ShadToscano859201 2025.03.29 2
25665 Great Online Slot Gambling Agent Support 2994587859181768479567341761 FranciscoBrenan08589 2025.03.29 1
25664 Good Lotto Secrets 695698264343 MeghanSkeyhill58 2025.03.29 2
25663 Best Online Slot Gambling 8326971963448165581876863582 DeclanHuntley9372196 2025.03.29 1
25662 Safe Online Gambling Agency Directory 5868593928587293272291753655 TuyetPilkington91390 2025.03.29 1
25661 Bungalow Malaysia JaquelineDullo618754 2025.03.29 0
25660 Excellent Slot Game 8876219497381111643556454917 DaleneMcLoud6531671 2025.03.29 1
25659 Explore The Mysteries Of Dragon Money Casino Reviews Bonuses You Must Benefit From LucyAlmeida9869344361 2025.03.29 2
25658 Le Meilleur Test De Personnalité Pour Le Recrutement SadieDuvall28514817 2025.03.29 0
25657 Great Online Slot 6598328829432474575444138132 AnnaVelazquez8960 2025.03.29 2
정렬

검색

위로