Should you not determine what Longshots are, we'll begin with some history as well as a definition. A number of years back there was a lottery strategy that became rather popular that, for lack of an even better name, we will call the Hot Number Strategy. In addition to it came the average marketing hype that you would expect. The pitch went something like this:
Since more than 80% of all winning lottery numbers Hit in the last 10 drawings, create your play list from the winners within the last 10 drawings. This tends to boost your chances of winning the lottery.
From the beginning, it sounds plausible enough. But, let's think of this. Implicit within this strategy is the opposite side of the coin. Any lottery numbers that have not Hit within the last 10 drawings will be considered a rather dubious pick. Hence, Institutocervantesguerrero noted these lottery numbers were named Longshots. The name persists to this day and I even use it. Nevertheless, I do not malign the utilization of Longshots. The truth is, I applaud them. Including Longshots in a play list is an absolute necessity for just about any viable lottery strategy.
For all of those lottery players who got caught up in the Hot Number Strategy hype, this was, no doubt, a really expensive lesson. A lot of cash was spent with little to show for it.
Excluding Longshots resulted in a Hot Number Strategy disaster. The truth is, including Longshots will be important to any viable lottery strategy because, on a typical, 25% to 40% of the winning numbers are Longshots! You heard me right; 25% to 40%.
This has been true for every lottery within the US and Canada for over twenty years. That is when I started analyzing them. The percentage varies from lottery to lottery as the size of the lotteries change. By way of example, the percentage is higher for a 6/52 lottery than it's for a 6/44 lottery. Nonetheless, you may rest assured that this lottery number pattern is as solid as a rock.
It really is simple for anyone to verify this. Well, maybe without a good lottery software program, not so simple. However, no matter what, this really is the approach. List all the lottery numbers which have Hit in the last 10 drawings for each lottery drawing. Any lottery number not in the list has to be a Longshot. Count the range of winning numbers within the next drawing who were Longshots. Do this for the whole lottery history. If you average the range of Longshots who were winners, you will find the answer lies somewhere between 25 and 40 percent.
How can you take advantage of this data? Assuming that the answer you got was 30%, then, on the regular, 30% of the winning numbers within the next drawing would be Longshots. If you were playing a 6/48 lottery, therefore you should expect 1.8 winning numbers to be Longshots. (30% x 6 = 1.8) As always, this does not happen every drawing but it is unwaveringly persistent over time. For example, in Lotto Texas, at least 1 of the winning numbers is a Longshot 89% of the time! To paraphrase, you may count on it.
This shows why the Hot Number Strategy practitioners wasted so much cash. On the regular, their play lists were coming up 1.8 numbers short. This must have been (and still is) very frustrating for the players using this weak lottery strategy.
Several of you are, no doubt, asking how you can take advantage of Longshot whenever you play. Continuing with the example above, it's very simple. Let's say you elect to pare down a 48 number lottery to a 37 number play list with the aid of lottery analysis software. Not much of a bad strategy since you've got eliminated 9,946,728 wagers from play! Since you are expecting 30% of the winning lottery numbers to be Longshots, you make sure that 11 of those 37 lottery numbers in your play list are Longshots. (30%x37=11.1)
It really is hard to imagine any lottery strategy that does not include Longshots. Serious lottery players everywhere use it. This really is called playing the odds. In fact, that is what all successful gamblers do; play the odds.
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