
In the event that you don't know what Longshots are, we will begin with some history as well as a definition. Several years back there was a lottery strategy that became rather popular that, for lack of an even better name, we will call the Hot Number Strategy. As well as it came the normal marketing hype that you would expect. The pitch went something like this:
Since more than 80% of all winning lottery numbers Hit in the last 10 drawings, create your play list from the winners in the last 10 drawings. This will improve your chances of winning the lottery.
From the beginning, it sounds plausible enough. However, let's think of this. Implicit inside this strategy will be the opposite side of the coin. Any lottery numbers that haven't Hit within the last 10 drawings will be considered a rather dubious pick. Hence, these lottery numbers were named Longshots. The name persists to this day and I even use it. Nonetheless, I do not malign the usage of Longshots. The truth is, I applaud them. Including Longshots in a knockout post play list is definitely an absolute necessity for virtually every viable lottery strategy.
For all of those lottery players who got caught up within the Hot Number Strategy hype, this was, without doubt, a really expensive lesson. A great deal of cash was spent with little to show for it.
Excluding Longshots resulted in a Hot Number Strategy disaster. In reality, including Longshots is crucial to any viable lottery strategy because, on the average, 25% to 40% of the winning numbers are Longshots! You heard me right; 25% to 40%.
This has been true for every lottery in the US and Canada for over 20 years. That is when I started analyzing them. The percentage varies from lottery to lottery as the size of the lotteries change. One example is the percentage is higher for a 6/52 lottery than it is for a 6/44 lottery. Nevertheless, you can rest assured that this lottery number pattern is as solid as a rock.
It really is simple for anyone to verify this. Well, maybe without an excellent lottery software program, not so simple. But, no matter what, this really is the approach. List all of the lottery numbers that have Hit within the last 10 drawings for each lottery drawing. Any lottery number not within the list must be a Longshot. Count the number of winning numbers within the next drawing that were Longshots. Do this for the entire lottery history. If you average the number of Longshots that have been winners, you shall find the answer lies someplace between 25 and 40 percent.
How can you make use of these details? Assuming that the answer you got was 30%, then, on the common, 30% of the winning numbers in the next drawing would be Longshots. If you were playing a 6/48 lottery, therefore you should expect 1.8 winning numbers to be Longshots. (30% x 6 = 1.8) Keep in mind, this doesn't happen every drawing but it is unwaveringly persistent over-time. For example, in Lotto Texas, at least 1 of the winning numbers is a Longshot 89% of the time! Quite simply, you may count on it.
This shows why the Hot Number Strategy practitioners wasted so much money. On a normal, their play lists were coming up 1.8 numbers short. This must happen to be (and still is) very frustrating for the players using this weak lottery strategy.
Several of you are, undoubtedly, asking how you takes benefit of Longshot when you play. Continuing with the example above, it really is very simple. Let's say you choose to pare down a 48 number lottery to a 37 number play list with the help of lottery analysis software. Not much of a bad strategy since you've got eliminated 9,946,728 wagers from play! Since you are expecting 30% of the winning lottery numbers to be Longshots, you ensure that 11 of those 37 lottery numbers in your play list are Longshots. (30%x37=11.1)
It truly is hard to imagine any lottery strategy that doesn't include Longshots. Serious lottery players everywhere use it. This really is called playing the odds. The truth is, that's what all successful gamblers do; play the odds.
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