If you don't know what Longshots are, we will start with some history and a definition. Several years back there was a lottery strategy that became rather popular that, for lack of a better name, we'll call the Hot Number Strategy. Along with it came the standard marketing hype that you would expect. The pitch went something like this:
Since more than 80% of all winning lottery numbers Hit within the last 10 drawings, create your play list from the winners within the last 10 drawings. It will increase your probability of winning the lottery.
In the early stages, it sounds plausible enough. Nevertheless, let's think about this. Implicit in the strategy is the opposite side of the coin. Any lottery numbers that haven't Hit in the last 10 drawings are considered a rather dubious pick. Hence, these lottery numbers were named Longshots. The name persists to this day and I even use it. Yet, I do not malign the usage of Longshots. In fact, I applaud them. Including Longshots in a play list is definitely an absolute necessity for any viable lottery strategy.
For all of those lottery players who got caught up within the Hot Number Strategy hype, this was, no doubt, a very expensive lesson. A great deal of cash was spent with little to show for it.
Excluding Longshots resulted in a Hot Number Strategy disaster. The truth is, including Longshots is essential to any viable lottery strategy because, on the typical, 25% to 40% of the winning numbers are Longshots! You heard me right; 25% to 40%.
This has been true for every lottery within the US and Canada for over 2 decades. That's when I started analyzing them. The percentage varies from lottery to lottery as the size of the lotteries change. As an example, the percentage is higher for a 6/52 lottery than it is for a 6/44 lottery. However, you can rest assured that this lottery number pattern is as solid as a rock.
It is simple for someone to verify this. Well, maybe without a superb lottery software program, not so simple. But, in either case, this really is the approach. List all the lottery numbers that have Hit in the last 10 drawings for each lottery drawing. Any lottery number not in the list has to be a Longshot. Count the range of winning numbers in the next drawing that were Longshots. Do this for the entire lottery history. If you average the number of Longshots that were winners, you shall find the answer lies somewhere between 25 and 40%.
How can you take advantage of this information? Assuming that the answer you got was 30%, then, on the typical, 30% of the winning numbers within the next drawing would be Longshots. If you were playing a 6/48 lottery, consequently you should expect 1.8 winning numbers to be Longshots. (30% x 6 = 1.8) Bear in mind, this doesn't happen every drawing but it's unwaveringly persistent over time. By way of example, in Lotto Texas, at least 1 of the winning numbers is a Longshot 89% of the time! Put simply, you may count on it.
This shows why the Hot Number Strategy practitioners wasted so much cash. On the normal, their play lists were coming up 1.8 numbers short. This must are already (but still is) very frustrating for the players using this weak lottery strategy.
Several of you are, undoubtedly, asking how you takes good thing about Longshot when you play. Continuing with the example above, it's very simple. Let's say you elect to pare down a 48 number lottery to a 37 number play list with the aid of lottery analysis software. Not only a bad strategy since you've got eliminated 9,946,728 wagers from play! Since you are expecting 30% of the winning lottery numbers to be Longshots, you ensure that 11 of those 37 lottery numbers within your play list are Longshots. (30%x37=11.1)
It truly is hard to imagine any lottery strategy that doesn't include Longshots. Serious lottery players everywhere use it. This is called playing the odds. Actually, that's what all successful gamblers do; play the odds.
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