
In the event that you don't determine what Longshots are, we will begin with some history and also a definition. Several years back there was a lottery strategy that became rather popular that, for lack of a better name, we'll call the Hot Number Strategy. Along with it came the common marketing hype that you would expect. The pitch went something like this:
Since more than 80% of all winning lottery numbers Hit in the last 10 drawings, create your play list from the winners within the last 10 drawings. This will enhance your probability of winning the lottery.
In the beginning, it sounds plausible enough. Nonetheless, let's think of this. Implicit inside this strategy will be the opposite side of the coin. Any lottery numbers that haven't Hit within the last 10 drawings will be considered a rather dubious pick. Hence, these lottery numbers were named Longshots. The name persists to this day and I even use it. Yet, I don't malign the utilization of Longshots. Actually, I applaud them. Including Longshots in a play list is an absolute necessity for almost any viable lottery strategy.
For all of those lottery players who got caught up within the Hot Number Strategy hype, this was, without doubt, a very expensive lesson. A lot of money was spent with little to show for it.
Excluding Longshots resulted in a Hot Number Strategy disaster. You see, including Longshots is important to any viable lottery strategy because, on a typical, 25% to 40% of the winning numbers are Longshots! You heard me right; 25% to 40%.
This has been true for every official lottery within the US and Canada for over 20 years. That's when I started analyzing them. The percentage varies from lottery to lottery as the size of the lotteries change. For example, the percentage is higher for a 6/52 lottery than it's for a 6/44 lottery. Nevertheless, you can be assured that this lottery number pattern is as solid as a rock.
It is simple for someone to verify this. Well, maybe without a good lottery software program, not so simple. Nevertheless, in any event, this is the approach. List all the lottery numbers that have Hit in the last 10 drawings for each lottery drawing. Any lottery number not in the list must be a Longshot. Count the range of winning numbers within the next drawing which were Longshots. Do this for the whole lottery history. If you average the range of Longshots which were winners, you shall find the answer lies somewhere between 25 and 40 percent.
How can you take advantage of this data? Assuming that the answer you got was 30%, then, on an average, 30% of the winning numbers in the next drawing will be Longshots. If you were playing a 6/48 lottery, it means that you should expect 1.8 winning numbers to be Longshots. (30% x 6 = 1.8) As always, this will not happen every drawing but it really is unwaveringly persistent over time. By way of example, in Lotto Texas, at least 1 of the winning numbers is a Longshot 89% of the time! To paraphrase, you may count on it.
This shows why the Hot Number Strategy practitioners wasted so much cash. On the regular, their play lists were coming up 1.8 numbers short. This must are already (but still is) very frustrating for the players using this weak lottery strategy.
Some of you are, no doubt, asking how you may take benefit of Longshot when you play. Continuing with the example above, it really is very simple. Let's say you choose to pare down a 48 number lottery to a 37 number play list with the assistance of lottery analysis software. Not a bad strategy since you have eliminated 9,946,728 wagers from play! Since you are expecting 30% of the winning lottery numbers to be Longshots, you ensure that 11 of those 37 lottery numbers within your play list are Longshots. (30%x37=11.1)
It's hard to imagine any lottery strategy that will not include Longshots. Serious lottery players everywhere use it. This is called playing the odds. The truth is, that is what all successful gamblers do; play the odds.
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